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Incorrect times
I was on Ch1 and at 3pm the caravan didnt show up. Vermont the event NPC said it shows up every even hour so I changed the times
The times might differ depending on where some people live, I live in EST so I guess it's odd numbered hours that it starts for me, it might be even numbered hours for people in different time zones though like, PST maybe?
I believe that the event starts every 2 hours real-time if I'm not mistaken.