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Luck
Fragment of a discussion from Talk:Stats
I conducted a 1000 shot test, which spanned around 45 minutes. (They kept missing at large distances and I afked for it.)
You can see the results here...excuse me while I get the ringing out of my ears...
adding to my earlier results, 268/1560 = 17.1794817... e-e...yeah it's pretty low, I'd say capped at probably 25% if not 20%.