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Musical Knowledge
I know you got these numbers directly from the data but i think we can all agree that excellent performances do not occur 75% of the time. I contend that the unknown variable (Var1) is part of a calculation for the actual rate in which:
Rank 1 Example: Var1="206" Var2="75" Var3="15" Var4="0" Var5="10" Var6="30"
Inspiring Rate = Var3/Var1 ; Excellent Rate = Var2/Var1
Alternatively: Inspiring if rand(206)<15 ; else Excellent if rand(206)<75
This calculation provides a gradual, linearly increasing rate for each performance level based on the rank which are much closer to the observable rates. Large samples may help determine which of the calculations is closer to truth.
How this gets put in a table, I have no idea.
Edit: this also means that the values listed under reforges are not directly corresponding to % increase, adding roughly half of what is currently there/